I just explained how it worked for me - which means it works for some percentage of the population. I don’t what media you’re looking at but the overwhelming majority is fear exasperating, it’s telling everyone all the time to be afraid - not that we’re in the most peaceful era of existence.
I don’t know what you mean by the data is misleading, you’d have to provide a specific example, because nearly every crime statistic shows Germany as incredibly peaceful and nearly ever crime statistic cannot be “slightly misleading”. For instance the number of homicides in Germany in 2023 is 0.9 per 100,000. Compare that to the US which is 5.8 per 100,000, a literal 6x value, and anyone can see that Germany is 6 times safer than the US in this one category. As someone from the US that’s powerful, because I lived fine in the US and now I’m even more safe. That statistic isn’t slightly misleading imo. You could argue some number of homicides are going unreported or that the population numbers are way off - but you’d have to show that as a cause for only one side of the equation, something I don’t believe you can.
I don’t fundamentally understand your second paragraph, what do you mean “the main number is number of suspects”? The number I provided is not suspects, it’s actually homicides, for example.
So I think you’re wrong about:
data not being effective at helping people fight their biases
that the media is conveying a peaceful or accurate message consistently
that the crime statistics, all of them, are “slightly misleading”
The people in place X should compare themselves to people in place X, first and foremost. Germany has almost never been safer than it is today, with all of the immigrants, with all of the fear, with all of the psyops, it’s an incredibly safe place to live by global standards and by German standards.
That’s my point. The data shows it, living in Germany shows it, and I think this is true for most places on earth.
So you’re correct in saying the crime rate went up in 2023, but saying it’s a 15 year high is misleading, including comparing it to 1993 because there’s a difference in population.
Looking at macrotrends.net the crime rate per 100k in 1993 was 1.67. The data here only goes up to 2021 but it’s 0.83. Even going back a few years to the highest peak, 2016 that’s still 1.17. So based on this data Germany was 1.5-2x more dangerous in 1993 than it was in 2021. There’s just more people living here than there ever has been. Like even if you take the 214k number and look back for the last time it was that high, it was 2007. The population hasn’t grown that much but the demographics surely have changed, and it’s now as bad as it was in 2007.
Now I didn’t live in Germany in 2007, but I’d bet I’d struggle to find someone who honestly believed 2003-2010 (when the # of reports was above 200k) was a dangerous period in Germany. Like it’s all just the news cycle mate, they get to slap a big 8% on the year over year change and they get to run that for a couple of weeks throughout the year. In reality, it’s not the migrants or the cannibis laws I saw one article suggest, it’s the fact that wealth inequality has continued to worsen not just in Germany but globally and that will cost us (and everyone) something fierce.
We’re seeing it in the US, we saw it in Germany last century, and we are marching onward to more inequality with the CDU and Merz leading the way.
I just explained how it worked for me - which means it works for some percentage of the population. I don’t what media you’re looking at but the overwhelming majority is fear exasperating, it’s telling everyone all the time to be afraid - not that we’re in the most peaceful era of existence.
I don’t know what you mean by the data is misleading, you’d have to provide a specific example, because nearly every crime statistic shows Germany as incredibly peaceful and nearly ever crime statistic cannot be “slightly misleading”. For instance the number of homicides in Germany in 2023 is 0.9 per 100,000. Compare that to the US which is 5.8 per 100,000, a literal 6x value, and anyone can see that Germany is 6 times safer than the US in this one category. As someone from the US that’s powerful, because I lived fine in the US and now I’m even more safe. That statistic isn’t slightly misleading imo. You could argue some number of homicides are going unreported or that the population numbers are way off - but you’d have to show that as a cause for only one side of the equation, something I don’t believe you can.
I don’t fundamentally understand your second paragraph, what do you mean “the main number is number of suspects”? The number I provided is not suspects, it’s actually homicides, for example.
So I think you’re wrong about:
True.
The unit is suspects, not convicts.
But people in Germany compare themselves to Switzerland and Poland.
The people in place X should compare themselves to people in place X, first and foremost. Germany has almost never been safer than it is today, with all of the immigrants, with all of the fear, with all of the psyops, it’s an incredibly safe place to live by global standards and by German standards.
That’s my point. The data shows it, living in Germany shows it, and I think this is true for most places on earth.
Unfortunately for 2023
https://www.dw.com/en/germany-violent-crime-reaches-15-year-high-report/a-68758122
Coming from 150,000 in 1993. https://www.gut-leben-in-deutschland.de/indicators/security/crime/
So you’re correct in saying the crime rate went up in 2023, but saying it’s a 15 year high is misleading, including comparing it to 1993 because there’s a difference in population.
Looking at macrotrends.net the crime rate per 100k in 1993 was 1.67. The data here only goes up to 2021 but it’s 0.83. Even going back a few years to the highest peak, 2016 that’s still 1.17. So based on this data Germany was 1.5-2x more dangerous in 1993 than it was in 2021. There’s just more people living here than there ever has been. Like even if you take the 214k number and look back for the last time it was that high, it was 2007. The population hasn’t grown that much but the demographics surely have changed, and it’s now as bad as it was in 2007.
Now I didn’t live in Germany in 2007, but I’d bet I’d struggle to find someone who honestly believed 2003-2010 (when the # of reports was above 200k) was a dangerous period in Germany. Like it’s all just the news cycle mate, they get to slap a big 8% on the year over year change and they get to run that for a couple of weeks throughout the year. In reality, it’s not the migrants or the cannibis laws I saw one article suggest, it’s the fact that wealth inequality has continued to worsen not just in Germany but globally and that will cost us (and everyone) something fierce.
We’re seeing it in the US, we saw it in Germany last century, and we are marching onward to more inequality with the CDU and Merz leading the way.